11–12 Jun 2026 Annual Conference
Stockholm University
Europe/Stockholm timezone

Strategic Alignment: Explaining Iran's Integration of Offensive Cyber Operations into its Military Strategy

Not scheduled
20m
Stockholm University

Stockholm University

Frescativägen, 114 19 Stockholm, Sweden
Paper Abstract (Closed Panels) Reserve List

Speaker

Eugenio Lilli (UCD)

Description

This article aims to explain Iran's increasingly assertive use of offensive cyber operations (OCOs) and their integration into its military strategy. It suggests that the upward trajectory of Iranian OCOs is best understood through strategic alignment—namely the convergence between Iran's cyber behavior and the logics of asymmetry, ambiguity, escalation control, and strategic depth which have long defined Iranian strategic thinking. To assess the plausibility of this explanation, the article proceeds in four steps. First, it reviews the literature on Iranian OCOs and lays out the article's contribution. Second, it offers a discussion of the four central logics underpinning Iran's strategic thinking. Third, it tests strategic alignment against both theoretical insights from the cyber literature and empirical evidence drawn from two cases of Iranian OCOs: those targeting Israel's water infrastructure in 2020 and Albania's government websites in 2022. A separate section examines the June 2025 War between Iran and Israel and illustrates the limits of Tehran's ability to integrate OCOs into fast-paced wartime operations. The article concludes that both the theory and the practice of cyber operations corroborate the strategic alignment argument as a plausible explanation for the rise in Iranian OCOs and their integration in the country's military strategy. Overall, the article deepens our understanding of both Iranian military strategy and the broader relationship between national strategic thinking and cyber behavior.

If you are submitting an Open Panel proposal, have you included all four abstracts in attachment? No, I am submitting a Closed Panel abstract
Would you like to be considered for travel funding through the NetSec COST Action? Yes
Are you a member of the NetSec Management Committee? No
What discipline or branch of humanities or social sciences do you identify yourself with? International Relations
Which of the following best describes your stage of the career? Assistant Professor
In which country is your home institution? Ireland
What is your gender? Male

Author

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