11–12 Jun 2026 Annual Conference
Stockholm University
Europe/Stockholm timezone

Sending the Wrong Signals: When Armaments Worry Allies

12 Jun 2026, 11:15
10m
Stockholm University

Stockholm University

Frescativägen, 114 19 Stockholm, Sweden

Speaker

Tim Thies (Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg)

Description

While the role of armaments, and in particular forward-deployed military forces, as signals of reassurance is well-established in the scholarly literature, existing research has not explored when and why armaments may worry allies. In this paper, I consider disagreements between allies about the right armaments by the patron for the defense of a client as symptoms of defense misalignment, reflecting deeper disagreements about the preferred way of warfare among allies. The article proposes a novel theory of armaments as signals of defense misalignment to explain how certain types of armaments can prove contentious between allies. In essence, armaments can trigger conflicts between allies by transforming abstract defense strategies, drafted by political logic, into tangible, material capabilities. As armaments resolve the contradictions and pin down the ambiguities, deliberately included in the strategy for political reasons, they bring the underlying conflicts, stemming from allies’ divergent security interests, back to the fore. I offer a typology of characteristics that render armaments particularly prone to reveal instances of defense misalignment, and I test my theory through case studies on intra-NATO disputes about the role of nuclear forces for the alliance’s defense during the Cold War. My findings are particularly relevant to the context of European defense today. A better understanding of the role of armaments in revealing instances of defense misalignment is essential for safeguarding political cohesion between European NATO allies.

If you are submitting an Open Panel proposal, have you included all four abstracts in attachment? No, I am submitting a Closed Panel abstract
Would you like to be considered for travel funding through the NetSec COST Action? Yes
Are you a member of the NetSec Management Committee? No
What discipline or branch of humanities or social sciences do you identify yourself with? International Relations
Which of the following best describes your stage of the career? PhD Candidate
In which country is your home institution? Germany
What is your gender? Male

Author

Tim Thies (Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg)

Presentation materials

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